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Expert insights
Specialised in inflation and monetary policy themes
Forecasting the UK and Euro area economies
Global geopolitical analysis
BoE Review: Uncomfortable Guidance
Ben Bernanke’s review of forecasting at the Bank of England raised many suggestions. We hope the BoE doesn’t dodge two aspects critical to improving its guidance.Inflation expectations are poorly captured …
BoE Should Move Behind the Fed and ECB
Hawkish surprises in the UK and US data pushed back rate cut pricing. Dovish comments from Bailey still weigh on BoE rates, inappropriately keeping pricing below the Fed.Underlying inflationary pressures …
UK Stuck With High Services Inflation
UK CPI inflation exceeded the consensus by 0.1pp as it only slowed to 3.2% in March, as we forecasted. Services inflation stuck at 6%, and high-frequency impulses increased.Persistently high pay …
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Importance | Region | Release | Date | Time | Period |
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Reliable forecasts and indicators
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Inflation forecasts across Europe (22 countries)
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Underlying inflation measures for all countries
Indicator series crucial to numerous models
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