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Specialised in inflation and monetary policy themes
Forecasting the UK and Euro area economies
Global geopolitical analysis
When Rising Real Rates Are Not Dovish
Some unrealistically academic policymakers worry that rising real rates from disinflation will excessively tighten monetary conditions. We firmly believe they are mistaken.Cost shocks eroded disposable income, but this real income …
UK Private Debt Looking Less Burdensome
The BoE’s financial stability report updated its projections for how the debt burden will increase with the transmission of past interest rate rises.Although debt servicing costs will consume more income, …
UK Trend Inflation Problem
The BoE’s medium-term inflation forecasts have been grinding higher amid evidence of persistence from wages. Historical errors clustered in regimes lasting several years.Inflation proved more predictable in 2023, with spot …
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| Importance | Region | Release | Date | Time | Period |
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Reliable forecasts and indicators
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Inflation forecasts across Europe (22 countries)
Continual updates for data releases and news
Full detail and aggregates to aid interpretation
Forecast evolution data
Underlying inflation measures for all countries
Indicator series crucial to numerous models
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