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Expert insights
Specialised in inflation and monetary policy themes
Forecasting the UK and Euro area economies
Global geopolitical analysis
UK: GDP Quickly Decelerating To Trend
GDP was unchanged for the second consecutive month in July, disappointing growth expectations. It is quickly decelerating back to its trend after recovering H2’s shortfall.Growth in the PMI-consistent sectors has …
UK: Unemployment Lower Than Last Year
Unemployment extended its decline in July to reach 4.14%, 0.2pp less than a year earlier, despite a 0.1pp rise in the long-term rate, amid resurgent employment.Redundancies have fallen towards historic …
Politics: The Far-Centre Will Fail
Dismissing popular concerns alienates potential voters for some traditional and current parties of government. The resultant democratic deficit positions them as far-centre.Popular alternative views need careful respect, either triangulating their …
Reliable forecasts and indicators
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Inflation forecasts across Europe (22 countries)
Continual updates for data releases and news
Full detail and aggregates to aid interpretation
Forecast evolution data
Underlying inflation measures for all countries
Indicator series crucial to numerous models
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