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Peru Policy Interest Rate 6.5% (consensus 6.5%) in Jan-24

• The BCRP reduced the reference rate by 25bp again to 6.50%, in sync with economists' expectations, driven by a consistent decrease in headline and core inflation.
• Future interest rate decisions will be data-driven, focused on inflation trends and economic indicators, with particular attention to managing risks such as El Niño and external economic conditions.
• The Board remains committed to adapting its monetary stance in response to evolving economic data, aiming to ensure inflation returns to the target range, indicative of a responsive and vigilant monetary policy approach.

Peru Lima CPI Inflation 0.41% m-o-m (consensus 0.3%) in Dec-23

- Peru's Lima CPI inflation rate exceeded expectations, rising by 0.41% in December 2023, the highest level since April 2023.
- Despite the increase, headline annual inflation slowed but remains too high at 3.2%.

Peru Policy Interest Rate 6.75% (consensus 6.75%) in Dec-23

• The BCRP reduced the reference rate by 25bps to 6.75%, aligning with the economic consensus, driven by a consistent downward trend in both month-on-month and year-on-year inflation that signalled easing inflationary pressures.
• Future policy decisions will be shaped by ongoing inflation trends, global economic conditions, and domestic economic indicators, with a particular focus on managing risks such as climatic factors and external economic shocks.
• The Board’s commitment to adjusting its monetary stance in response to evolving economic data underscores a vigilant and responsive approach to ensuring inflation targets are met.

Peru Lima CPI Inflation -0.16% m-o-m (consensus 0.1) in Nov-23

- Lima's inflation rate in November 2023 decreased by 0.16%, deviating significantly from the consensus forecast of a 0.1% increase.
- Compared to the previous month, the inflation rate declined even further, recording a decrease of 0.32%. This is the highest negative inflation trend since August 2023.