Archive

Norway CPI Inflation 3.6% y-o-y (consensus 3.5%) in Apr-24

- Norway's CPI inflation slowed from 3.9% to 3.6% year-on-year in April 2024, slightly surpassing market expectations of 3.5%.
- Upside news in core inflation drove the disappointingly small decline as, at 4.4%, it was also 0.1pp higher than expected.

Norway Policy Rate 4.5% (consensus 4.5%) in May-24

• The Norges Bank has maintained the policy rate at 4.5%, aligning with expectations and previous forecasts, to control inflation that is still markedly above the 2% target despite a gradual slowdown.
• Economic activity in Norway is slightly better than expected, with resilient employment but continued low growth. Rising international policy expectations and a weaker krone complicate future monetary policy decisions.
• The Committee is prepared to adjust the policy rate up or down, depending on forthcoming economic data, focusing on inflation trends and economic growth rates.

Norway Unemployment Rate 4.0% in Mar-24

- Norway's unemployment rate rebounded to 4.0% in March 2024, the highest level since January 2024's spike.
- This rate is 0.35 percentage points above the one-year average and 0.53 percentage points above the long-run average, suggesting a cyclical slackening of Norway's labour market.

Norway CPI Inflation 3.9% y-o-y (consensus 4.2%) in Mar-24

- Norway's CPI inflation rate slowed by 0.6 percentage points to 3.9% year-on-year in March 2024, well below the consensus forecast of 4.2%. This outcome marks the lowest growth rate since September 2023.
- The CPI-ATE inflation rate, excluding volatile components, drove the downside surprise but remained higher at 4.5% year-on-year.