February 19, 2024

Sweden CPI Inflation 5.4% y-o-y (consensus 5.1%) in Jan-24

- Sweden's CPI inflation in January 2024 exceeded market consensus, reaching 5.4% year-on-year, indicating potential challenges from rising consumer prices.
- Nonetheless, by remaining 2.73 percentage points below the one-year average, this outcome shows that most of the progress towards the inflation target is sustained.

February 01, 2024

Sweden Policy Rate 4.0% (consensus 4.0%) in Jan-24

  • The Riksbank maintained the policy rate at 4.0%, reflecting effective prior measures against high inflation and a current economic assessment that supports a stable yet cautious monetary stance, with signals of potential policy easing ahead.
  • Inflation trends, particularly excluding energy prices, alongside moderated wage growth and anchored inflation expectations, suggest a consolidating path towards the target inflation rate, providing grounds for possible future rate cuts.
  • The Riksbank remains vigilant to risks, including geopolitical tensions and exchange rate volatility, advocating for a data-driven and cautious policy adjustment approach, with indications of a more contractionary monetary policy stance through increased sales of government bonds.

January 15, 2024

Sweden CPI Inflation 4.4% y-o-y (consensus 4.3%) in Dec-23

- Sweden's CPI inflation in December 2023 exceeded the consensus estimate by 0.1pp, reaching 4.4% year-on-year.
- However, this growth represents the lowest rate since February 2022 and is significantly lower than the previous month's figure of 5.8%.

December 14, 2023

Sweden CPI Inflation 5.8% y-o-y (consensus 6.0%) in Nov-23

- Sweden's CPI inflation for November 2023 slowed to 5.8% y-o-y, 0.2pp below the consensus forecast of 6.0%, indicating a substantial moderation in price increases.
- This figure represents the slowest growth in inflation since February 2022 and is significantly below the 1-year average.