Archive

April 29, 2024
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UK Politics: Early Election?

  • Whether or not the overall outcome of this week’s local elections and by-election is as bad for the Conservatives as expected, Rishi Sunak may be increasingly inclined to give serious thought to a snap general election as challenges mount.

By Alastair Newton

April 24, 2024
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Oil: When The Facts Change…

  • Changing ‘facts’ in the Middle East and more widely are making prospects for the price of oil even more murky, as is underlined by the wide range of forecasts among market analysts. What is clear, however, is that the escalation in Iran/Israel tensions has skewed risks firmly to the upside.

By Alastair Newton

April 15, 2024
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Europe, The Elections And The Economy

  • Although the centre seems set to hold in the upcoming European Parliament elections, a strong performance by nationalist parties, especially in France and Germany, could hinder Europe’s ability to revive its stagnant economy, especially in the face of new external threats.

By Alastair Newton

April 09, 2024
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UK Politics: Plague On Both Your Houses

  • If, as recent opinion polling suggests, the Conservative Party suffers a record defeat in the forthcoming general election, there is a risk that Labour and especially the Conservatives seize the wrong lessons from the outcome.

By Alastair Newton

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